System 1 arrives in Brazil on the 4.309-kilometre Autodromo Jose Carlos Tempo in Brazil with the battle for the drivers’ title nonetheless vast open. Max Verstappen as soon as once more prepares to race in injury management mode aboard a Crimson Bull missing the potential to contest for victory, whereas the 2024 System 1 championship end result will rely on how properly Lando Norris and McLaren can maximize their factors, additionally contemplating the end result of the observe battle with Ferrari that counts towards the Constructors’ title.
In São Paulo, drivers race on a various observe that’s totally different from the Circuit of the Americas in Austin and the Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez in Mexico Metropolis which preceded it within the final two weekends on this triple-header. That is mirrored in a balanced distribution of masses between the 2 axles of the automobile, with good equilibrium amongst lateral, traction, and braking stress on the Pirelli tires. The primary half of the lap consists of lengthy straights interspersed with medium-high-speed corners, such because the well-known Senna S or the descending left-hand turns often known as the “Descida do Lago”, adopted by a blended part of medium-low velocity. It’s exactly right here that McLaren goals to capitalize on its strengths.
Ferrari has confirmed aggressive in low-speed sections, with the SF24 automobile in a position to assault the curbs and being notably incisive throughout nook entry and exit, within the braking and traction phases, whereas the McLaren MCL38 stands out for its stability on the middle of corners. Thus, when the cornering section is transient, as within the 90-degree corners of Baku, Singapore, and Mexico Metropolis, the Italian aspect can sustain. Nonetheless, within the longer turns, McLaren tends to have the higher hand, as anticipated to occur in Sao Paulo in corners 8, 9, and 10.
It’s no coincidence that the Woking group has carried out greatest on tracks corresponding to Circuit de Catalunya-Barcelona, Budapest, and Zandvoort, which function lengthy low-speed turns. Nonetheless, at the moment, Ferrari was nonetheless missing the entrance wing and new flooring launched in September, which made the SF-24 a extra full automobile. Basically, McLaren performs greatest within the medium-high downforce configuration utilized in Brazil and beforehand in the course of the dominant weekend within the Singapore Grand Prix. On that event, nonetheless, there was no direct race comparability with Ferrari, which fell behind in visitors after qualifying errors.
Let’s additionally check out the observe floor issue and the way it may affect the upcoming race weekend in Brazil: alongside the observe format there are a number of necessary variables, notably the entire resurfacing of the circuit, whereas in Singapore, Austin, and Mexico Metropolis, solely a part of the circuit was resurfaced. Pirelli anticipates that the grip stage will stay much like the previous, with a barely increased step in comparison with Mexico. Nonetheless, past absolutely the stage of grip, what issues most is its nature.
The grip supplied by the tires might be of two varieties. The primary is mechanical and is dependent upon the tire’s penetration among the many grains of observe floor, however it’s anticipated that it will lower on Brazil’s new street floor, characterised by much less roughness. Subsequently, the adhesive grip turns into vital, related to the chemical bonds that type between the bottom and the tire floor. It is going to be as much as the groups to skillfully perceive find out how to make the very best use of the brand new mixture of tires and asphalt, particularly in gentle of Pirelli’s selections, which convey the softest compounds within the vary – C3, C4, and C5 – not like the earlier version, which featured intermediate specs.
All the pieces will happen over a weekend characterised by the frantic Dash format, with just one apply session earlier than the pit lane guidelines come into impact. Preparation executed within the manufacturing facility will likely be essential, with Ferrari typically managing to current a stable setup base, not like McLaren, which struggled to search out an efficient setup between Austin and Mexico Metropolis. The Dash variables and the brand new observe floor due to this fact make McLaren’s superiority on the Brazilian observe much less sure, offering the Scuderia with causes to hope.
Prior to now, the Brazilian observe has supplied quite a few overtaking alternatives, because of excessive tire degradation that created efficiency gaps between the automobiles, resulting in double pit cease methods. Nonetheless, the decrease abrasiveness of the brand new observe floor will scale back hysteresis mechanisms, particularly the floor deformations of the tire liable for temperature will increase and degradation. Then again, this facet may very well be offset by the softer compounds introduced by Pirelli, which is why it will likely be necessary to find the precise stage of degradation.
The variety of pit stops, overtaking alternatives in the course of the race, and the significance of the qualifying session will rely on these elements. At that time, it will likely be as much as the groups to resolve how a lot to deal with an aggressive setup for qualifying and the way a lot on a setup that protects the tires over the lengthy distance. The reopening of the pit lane on the finish of the Dash will permit groups to reassess their selections, particularly contemplating the precise danger of rain and the evolution of a observe that, being just lately resurfaced, will likely be vital.
What is for certain is that temperature administration could have much less impression on race tempo in comparison with the final occasion. The altitude decreases from 2,200 meters in Mexico Metropolis to 800 meters in Sao Paulo, with air density dropping from 22% to 10%. This additionally leads to much less pressure on the braking system, estimated by Brembo with a ranking of three out of 5. Drivers use the brakes for simply 15% of the lap time, with probably the most difficult braking level remaining Flip 1, with deceleration peaks of as much as 4.6 g.
Now let’s additionally take a brief have a look at Max Verstappen’s prospects for the Brazilian Grand Prix weekend: for months now, Crimson Bull has been relegated to the function of the third pressure, no less than within the fingers of the Dutch driver. Max Verstappen will proceed to cheer for Ferrari, a useful ally in taking factors away from his direct rival, Lando Norris. The reigning world champion will attempt to restrict the injury, holding onto a automobile that may nonetheless carry out properly in qualifying, when the grip of contemporary tires masks the automobile’s inherent weaknesses.
Nonetheless, the possible substitute of the Energy Unit and the next five-position grid penalty may transfer Max Verstappen farther from the entrance rows. This will increase the possibilities of witnessing a direct comparability between the McLaren and Ferrari automobiles, no less than in the principle race. For the Dutchman, a problem with Mercedes is shaping up, as they confirmed a race tempo corresponding to Crimson Bull’s in Mexico. In São Paulo, George Russell will even have the most recent aerodynamic replace package deal, however the Brackley group might dedicate a part of its consideration to exams for the 2025 System 1 season, as already hinted by Mercedes trackside engineering director Andrew Shovlin. No distractions, nonetheless, for Ferrari and McLaren, who’re anticipated to have interaction in a duel in Brazil, the end result of which could have heavy repercussions on the battle for the Constructors’ Championship.
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