Can Mannequin Y refresh reignite Tesla’s progress?

Tesla is about to launch a design refresh for Mannequin Y, its hottest mannequin, and it raises an vital query: can it reignite Tesla’s progress?

Thankfully, we now have a very good current comparability since Tesla refreshed the Mannequin 3 final 12 months.

Tesla doesn’t break down gross sales per mannequin so we now have to depend on third-party information to trace Mannequin 3 gross sales.

There are various estimates, however most of them are placing Tesla Mannequin 3 gross sales between 500,000 and 530,000 items in 2023 previous to the refresh.

In 2024, estimates are placing gross sales at roughly the identical.

Tesla supply analyst TroyTeslike has information pointing to 520,000 Mannequin 3 deliveries in 2024. The manufacturing changeover has actually affected gross sales within the first of the 12 months, however it seems like manufacturing and deliveries peaked in Q3 as Troy has Mannequin 3 on the similar quantity of about 149,000 items in Q3 and This fall.

As with all different Tesla fashions, the peaked supply volumes have been additionally achieved with document incentives and reductions in This fall.

Can Mannequin Y refresh be totally different?

Mannequin 3 refresh didn’t assist this system that a lot. It’s just about doing the identical supply volumes it was final 12 months, however it doesn’t essentially imply the identical will occur with Mannequin Y.

A whole lot of that relies on the refresh itself.

Earlier as we speak, we had our greatest have a look at the refresh up to now, and it’s much like the Mannequin 3 refresh within the sense that it options new headlights and taillights, though totally different ones than Mannequin 3, together with gentle bars, in addition to a extra aggressive front-end.

The extent of exterior adjustments is much like the Mannequin 3 refresh in phrases that it’s important however not massively totally different both.

Tesla didn’t go into too many particulars about “underneath the hood” adjustments with the Mannequin 3 refresh, however it did characteristic an improved suspension, a quieter cabin, and a slight enhance in effectivity.

We are able to count on related enhancements to the Mannequin Y.

There have been some adjustments that folks noticed as detrimental, with the principle one being the brand new steering wheel. Mannequin Y continues to be the one automobile in Tesla’s lineup that doesn’t have a stalkless steering wheel with pressure contact flip alerts and a gear selector on the middle show.

Contemplating all different Tesla autos went that approach, that is anticipated to alter with the Mannequin Y refresh. Personally, I didn’t have any drawback adapting to the brand new flip alerts when driving the brand new Mannequin 3 and Cybertruck, however I do admit that the gear selector is annoying.

I do know many Tesla followers refused to get a Tesla automobile with steering wheel stalks.

Electrek’s Take

Primarily based on the data we now have proper now, I’d count on the Mannequin Y refresh to have the same impression because the Mannequin 3 refresh, however we might get a shock.

Clearly, if there have been important enhancements to the vary, that might make an enormous distinction, however I’d solely count on small incremental enhancements at greatest.

A much bigger shock could be Tesla bringing one thing just like the steer-by-wire and a 48-volt structure from Cybertruck to Mannequin Y. It’s a must to strive it to understand it, however the steer-by-wire on Cybertruck is tremendous enjoyable.

The design replace seems good, however I assumed the Mannequin 3 redesign was even sharper, and it didn’t have a lot of an impression. I believe new options or extra effectivity/vary could be probably the most important distinction makers.

What do you assume? Tell us within the remark part beneath.